Letter to the Editor · Open access

Protecting Doctors Aged Greater than 50 Years from COVID-19

  • Chien-Ming Chao1 (corresponding author)
  1. Tainan city ROR

Abstract

Glynn raised the concern about the need for protecting workers aged 60-69 years from COVID-19. In addition to the general population, we think this issue is important within the healthcare system. However, we wonder whether this estimation can be applied in the healthcare system. To answer this question, we used the same model to estimate the distribution of death according to the doctor's age group. First, we found that 40% and 30% of deaths are in the 70+ and 60-69 year group. Second, after excluding the doctors aged more than 70 years, it estimated that 48% of deaths developed in the 60-69 years age group. Both of these findings were consistent with Glynn¡'s findings and suggest that doctors aged over 60 years should be protected. Moreover, we also noted that 31.4% of deaths were estimated to occur in the 50-59-year groups in the group aged less than 70 years. This ratio was higher in the analysis of the general population by Glynn, in which 25% of death developed in the group aged 50-59 years. Overall, it suggested that doctors aged greater than 50 years should need protection within the hospital in this COVID-19 pandemic. To avoid overload of the healthcare system, which was associated with the poor outcome of critical COVID-19 patients and prevent the death of aged physicians, appropriate allocation of physicians' works according to their specificity and age should be conducted to enhance the effectiveness of healthcare resource.

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Full text

Dear Editor, Health, in one recent study(1), Glynn raised the concern about the need of protecting worker aged 60-69 year from COVID-19. In addition to general population, we think this issue is important within healthcare system. However, we wonder whether this estimation can be applied in the healthcare system. To answer this question, we used the same model (2, 3), to estimate the distribution of death according to the doctors’ age group. First, we found that 40% and 30% of deaths are in the 70+ and 60- 69 year group. Second, after excluding the doctors aged more than 70 years, it estimated that 48% of deaths developed in the 60-69- year age group (Table-1). Both of these findings were consistent with Glynn’s findings and suggest that doctors aged over 60 years should be protected. Moreover, we also noted that 31.4% of deaths was estimated to occur in the 50-59-year groups in the group aged less than 70 years. This ratio was higher in the analysis of general population by Glynn, in which 25% of death developed in the group aged 50-59 years. Overall, it suggested that doctors aged greater than 50 years should need protection within the hospital in this COVID-19 pandemic. To avoid overload of healthcare system, which was associated the poor outcome of critical COVID-19 patients and prevent the death of aged physicians, appropriate allocation of physicians’ works according the specificity and age (<50 vs ≥50 years) should be conducted to enhance effectiveness of healthcare resource.

Table 1. Estimated deaths by age-group if doctors in UK are infected with SSARS-CoV-2
Table 1: Estimated deaths by age-group if doctors in UK are infected with SSARS-CoV-2

Declarations

Author contributions (CRediT)
All authors contributed equally to all 14 CRediT roles (Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing).
Funding

Funding information was not reported in the published version of this article.

Conflicts of interest
The authors declare no competing interests.
Ethics approval
Ethics approval details were not reported in the published version of this article.
Data availability
Data sharing is not applicable to this article as no new data were created or analysed in this study.

References (3)

2 of 3 references are linked to their DOI.

  1. Glynn JR. Protecting workers aged 60-69 years from COVID-19. Lancet Infect Dis. 2020 Apr 16. pii: S1473-3099(20)30311-X. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30311-X DOI Crossref PubMed Google Scholar
  2. R Verity, LC Okell, I Dorigatti, et al. Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis. Lancet Infect Dis 2020 March 30 DOI Crossref PubMed Google Scholar
  3. https://www.statista.com/statistics/698278/registered-doctors -united-kingdom-uk-by-age/ accessed on April 28, 2020 PubMed Google Scholar

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How to cite this article

Chao CM. Protecting Doctors Aged Greater than 50 Years from COVID-19. Ulutas Med J. 2020;6(2):101-102. doi:10.5455/umj.20200513022911

Chao, C. M. (2020). Protecting Doctors Aged Greater than 50 Years from COVID-19. The Ulutas Medical Journal, 6(2), 101–102. https://doi.org/10.5455/umj.20200513022911

Chao, C.M. (2020) 'Protecting Doctors Aged Greater than 50 Years from COVID-19', The Ulutas Medical Journal, 6(2), pp. 101–102. doi: 10.5455/umj.20200513022911.

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